Transcript: It's probably worth getting the book Chip War by Chris Miller to understand more about semiconductor space generally.
You want to summarize the semiconductor market analysis for a general audience, possibly for people like Alex or Chandler. You plan to share your own perspective and possibly create a fun and engaging presentation. You are considering talking it out and then editing it together to keep it focused and not overly complex, but still engaging. Despite thinking it might be doing too much, you are enthusiastic about sharing your love for semiconductors.
The speaker expresses genuine enjoyment in learning about semiconductors and their history. They plan to relax and possibly drive and climb, highlighting a contrast to their intellectual interests. They reflect on listening to Morris Chang and Jensen Huang speak 15 years ago during an induction into the Computer History Museum. They feel grateful for the internet, which provides access to such interviews, and for the opportunity to gain insights from figures like Morris and Jensen, considering it a sign of amazing times.
Yes, sometimes after a long day, the idea of simply lying in bed and watching videos about semiconductors can seem quite appealing. The complexity and intricacies of semiconductor technology can be fascinating and a soothing subject of interest. It's a way to relax while also indulging in educational content. If you're someone with an interest in technology, this can be a nice way to wind down at night.
The speaker is considering the research question of how to achieve distributed compute, particularly the need for parallelism in executing pipelines and AI agents. They question the potential for building a Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG) that allows for agents to dynamically contribute to it and execute in parallel, emphasizing the need for pipeline development to accommodate this level of complexity. The discussion also touches on the scalability and parallel execution potential of the mixture of experts model, such as GPT-4, and the potential for hierarchical or vector space implementation. The speaker is keen on exploring the level of parallelism achievable through mixture of experts but acknowledges the limited understanding of its full capabilities at this point. They also express curiosity about fine-tuning experts for personal data. The speaker is discussing the data they are generating and the value of the training data for their system, particularly emphasizing the importance of transforming the data to suit their context and actions. They mention meditating and recording their thoughts, which they intend to transform into a bullet point list using an AI model after running it through a pipeline. The individual also discusses making their data publicly accessible and considering using GPT (possibly GPT-3) to post summaries of their thoughts on Twitter. They also ponder the potential of using machine learning models to create a personal Google-like system for individual data. The text discusses using data chunking as a method for generating backlinks and implementing PageRank in an agent system. It mentions steep space models and the continuous updating of internal state during training. It also compares the level of context in transformer models and discusses the idea of transformer as a compression of knowledge in a language. The speaker expresses interest in understanding the concept of decay in relation to memory and its impact on the storage and retrieval of information. They draw parallels between the processing of information in their mind and the functioning of a transformer model, with the long-term memory being likened to a transformer and short-term memory to online processing. They speculate on the potential of augmenting the transformer model with synthetic training data to improve long-term context retention and recall. Additionally, they mention a desire to leverage a state space model to compile a list of movies recommended by friends and contemplate the symbiotic relationship between technology and human sensory inputs in the future. In this passage, the speaker reflects on the relationship between humans and computers, suggesting that a form of symbiosis already exists between the two. They acknowledge the reliance on technology and the interconnectedness of biological and computational intelligence, viewing them as mutually beneficial and likening the relationship to symbiosis in nature. They express a preference for living at the juxtaposition of humans and computers, while acknowledging the potential challenges and the need to address potential risks. Additionally, they mention that their thoughts on this topic have been influenced by their experiences with psychedelics. The speaker discusses the potential increase in computing power over the next five years, mentioning the impact of Moore's Law and advancements in lithography and semiconductors. They refer to the semiconductor roadmap up to 2034, highlighting the shift towards smaller measurements, such as angstroms, for increased transistor density. They emphasize that the nanometer measurements are based on nomenclature rather than actual transistor size, and the challenges in increasing density due to size limitations and cost constraints. The conversation touches on different companies' approaches to transistor density and the role of ASML in pushing lithography boundaries, before concluding with a reference to the high cost and potential decline in revenue for semiconductor production. The speaker discusses the importance of semiconductor manufacturing in the U.S. and China's significant focus in this area. They mention watching videos and reading sub stacks related to semiconductor technology, specifically referencing industry analysts and experts in the field. The speaker expresses enthusiasm for staying updated on developments and offers to share information with the listener. The conversation concludes with a friendly farewell and the possibility of future discussions.